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Pew Hispanic Center. 7/9-13. Registered Hispanic voters. MoE 4.4% (
McCain (R) 23
Obama (D) 66
Remember, exit polls gave Bush 44 percent of the Latino vote in 2004, with Kerry getting just 53 percent. These Pew numbers represent the utter collapse of GOP support amongst Latinos which started in 2006, when xenophobic anti-immigrant rantings scared Latinos away from the GOP. Only 30 percent of Latinos voted Republican that year. I'm guessing today that Democrats earn as much as 75 percent of the Latino vote this year.
That will be significant, as the rest of Pew's report (PDF) makes clear.
[S]ome 78% of Latino registered voters say they are following the election very closely or somewhat closely this year, up from the 72% who said the same thing at this stage of the 2004 campaign. These poll findings, coming on the heels of a spirited Obama-Clinton nomination fight that led to rises in the Latino share of the vote in many Democratic primaries, suggest that the Hispanic community is politically energized heading into the fall election campaign.
More than three-quarters (76%) of Hispanic registered voters have a favorable opinion of Obama, and 73% have a favorable opinion of Hillary Rodham Clinton. In contrast, 44% of Hispanics have a favorable opinion of McCain and 27% have a favorable opinion of George W. Bush.
More than three-in-four Hispanics who voted for Clinton in a Democratic primary or caucus this year say they would vote for Obama or lean toward voting for him, while 8% of Clinton voters say they would vote for McCain or lean toward voting for him.
Latino registered voters are almost three times as likely to say that being black will help Obama (32%) with Hispanic voters than hurt him (11%); the majority (53%) say his race will make no difference.
More than half of Latino voters (55%) say that the Democratic Party is better for Latinos while just 6% say the Republican Party is better for Latinos.
By 2010, the Census Bureau expects the Latino population to be at 47.8 million, or 15.5 percent of the total population. By 2050, they project 102.6 million of us, or 24.4 of the country's total. With Republicans assiduously alienating this key and rapidly growing block, to the point that just 6 percent think Republicans are better for them, it has put a serious strain on their future ability to win.
So yes, this is all great news for Obama this year, but it portends huge things for the future of American politics, quite possibly the death of the modern Republican Party.
As for Obama, we've been mocking the whole "Latinos won't vote for a black guy" thing for months, ever since the Clinton campaign first used that ridiculous (and insulting) line of attack. The numbers since then have been quite clear. Latinos are more than happy enough (and excited) about voting for Obama as anyone else, and likely more so. I'm glad we're finally moving on from that ridiculousness.
Pew Hispanic Center. 7/9-13. Registered Hispanic voters. MoE 4.4% (
McCain (R) 23
Obama (D) 66
Remember, exit polls gave Bush 44 percent of the Latino vote in 2004, with Kerry getting just 53 percent. These Pew numbers represent the utter collapse of GOP support amongst Latinos which started in 2006, when xenophobic anti-immigrant rantings scared Latinos away from the GOP. Only 30 percent of Latinos voted Republican that year. I'm guessing today that Democrats earn as much as 75 percent of the Latino vote this year.
That will be significant, as the rest of Pew's report (PDF) makes clear.
[S]ome 78% of Latino registered voters say they are following the election very closely or somewhat closely this year, up from the 72% who said the same thing at this stage of the 2004 campaign. These poll findings, coming on the heels of a spirited Obama-Clinton nomination fight that led to rises in the Latino share of the vote in many Democratic primaries, suggest that the Hispanic community is politically energized heading into the fall election campaign.
More than three-quarters (76%) of Hispanic registered voters have a favorable opinion of Obama, and 73% have a favorable opinion of Hillary Rodham Clinton. In contrast, 44% of Hispanics have a favorable opinion of McCain and 27% have a favorable opinion of George W. Bush.
More than three-in-four Hispanics who voted for Clinton in a Democratic primary or caucus this year say they would vote for Obama or lean toward voting for him, while 8% of Clinton voters say they would vote for McCain or lean toward voting for him.
Latino registered voters are almost three times as likely to say that being black will help Obama (32%) with Hispanic voters than hurt him (11%); the majority (53%) say his race will make no difference.
More than half of Latino voters (55%) say that the Democratic Party is better for Latinos while just 6% say the Republican Party is better for Latinos.
By 2010, the Census Bureau expects the Latino population to be at 47.8 million, or 15.5 percent of the total population. By 2050, they project 102.6 million of us, or 24.4 of the country's total. With Republicans assiduously alienating this key and rapidly growing block, to the point that just 6 percent think Republicans are better for them, it has put a serious strain on their future ability to win.
So yes, this is all great news for Obama this year, but it portends huge things for the future of American politics, quite possibly the death of the modern Republican Party.
As for Obama, we've been mocking the whole "Latinos won't vote for a black guy" thing for months, ever since the Clinton campaign first used that ridiculous (and insulting) line of attack. The numbers since then have been quite clear. Latinos are more than happy enough (and excited) about voting for Obama as anyone else, and likely more so. I'm glad we're finally moving on from that ridiculousness.
Karen Hughes finally got a successor in her previous role as Under Secretary of State for Public Diplomacy, and it is entrepreneur, writer, and thinker James Glassman who was until recently Chairman of the Broadcasting Board of Governors.
Glassman has done much in his DC career, and yes -- he did co-author the market exhuberant book Dow 36,000 with McCain economic advisor Kevin Hassett who is, like Glassman was, a fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.
Among his other roles:
- Chairman, Broadcasting Board of Governors, 2007-present
- Editor-in-Chief and Executive Publisher, The American, 2006-2008
- Financial columnist, Kiplinger's Personal Finance magazine, 2004-present
- Founder and host, TCSDaily.com (technology and public policy), 2000-2006
- Columnist, Scripps Howard News Service, 2004-2006
- Member, Advisory Board on Public Diplomacy in the Arab and Muslim World, 2003
- Syndicated financial columnist, Washington Post (business page), 2001-2004
- Columnist, International Herald Tribune, 1999-2004
- Chief columnist, FOLIOfn, 2001
- Analyst, Left, Right, and Center, KCRW Santa Monica, 2001-2002
- Host, PBS TechnoPolitics, 1995-1999
- Syndicated columnist, Washington Post (opinion and business pages), 1993-1999
- Moderator, CNN Capital Gang Sunday, 1995-1998
- Editor and part-owner, Roll Call, 1987-1993
- Executive vice president, U.S. News & World Report, 1984-1986
- President, Atlantic Monthly, 1984-1986
- Publisher, New Republic, 1981-1984
- Executive editor, Washingtonian, 1979-1981
Glassman will be speaking on "New Approaches to Winning the War of Ideas" between 12:15 and 1:45 pm today EST -- and the meeting will STREAM LIVE here at The Washington Note.
-- Steve Clemons
Oh, apparently the wingnutosphere is in a tizzy because the traditional media won't cover the latest tripe from the National Enquirer. On that front, Richard Blair makes a good point:
if the legacy media heathers decide that they must titter and squeal about the veracity of the claims of in the Enquirer, then they are also duty bound to get to the bottom of the following tabloid stories:
Bush Booze Crisis, National Enquirer, 2/21/2005
Claw Marks, Globe Magazine, 1/8/2008:
Google Bush divorce tabloid and see what you come up with (hint: more than 175,000 hits)
Yeah! Why won't the "MSM" cover these stories? Coverup!
Seriously, I can't believe this is even subject to debate, but for the crazies, no source is too disreputable if it validates their warped world view. Although in a perverse sense, the more energy they spend on b.s. like this (and Obama's supposedly forged birth certificate), the less energy they're spending on smearing Obama.
Via Suburban Guerrilla, the great political writer Matt Taibbi wrote on July 19th for Rolling Stone that our America era of “fantasy elections” is soon to inevitably end, for the howling pain from the abuse of our people just cannot be ignored forever. One might be justifiably surprised that the will of the American people is being ignored after endless elections in the 2008 political season, but the American process almost earns the title of fantasy, and there is disturbing historical precedence that, in fact, it could go on for a very long time.
Election 2008 is not a fantasy, there are true vital elements to the democracy at stake (judicial appointments start a long list) that must be preserved or put back in place. It’s absolutely vital that as many citizens participate as possible if for no other reason than to stay empirically in the American political process. Very true, yes, but if the galling and vehemently sickening disregard for the abuse being inflicted on the American people almost doesn’t earn the title of “fantasy,” well, a new word should be minted for this utterly dismaying political process of denial we call an election.
America of the 21st century is a society run amok on militarism and petrol-imperialism, while a Niagara of cash crashes upon lands half a globe away to maim and kill human life our own people are abused with a merciless cruelty that would, rightly, never be dreamed of being tolerated in any other modern democracy. There is no health care, no daycare, no wage growth when there are jobs, hell, there aren’t even any trains, yet we spend billions on cancelled stealth destroyers while our own American people horribly suffer.
There’s an insidious, hidden element to the perception of “suffering” that needs to be noted here. After reading Taibbi’s work I carefully and slowly walked through one of his small stories on a tired Tuesday evening, burning my mother’s furniture to stay alive in a desperate winter of killing cold and desperate measures.
How long has it been since there was any decent meal on the table, a night of simple fun with friends, no stack of bills of unpaid, any fucking sense of dignity as an American in the one life given to you, how long ago was that as children tried to hide shivers in the faint light and cloudy quiet breaths? Mother, of course, is still with you, how could she not be? All her dreams and her life are right there before you, whatever those might spill out in your soul in that moment, right before you get out a hatchet, smashing it to stay alive.
It is a terrible indictment to our country that such a thing be considered tiny in the litany of abuse inflicted upon our people. One doesn’t lose a foot to untreated diabetes or a leg in lying war and learns to stay quiet when looking at other crippled shuffles of American hell, but burning your Mother’s furniture is an unspeakable act of cruelty that can easily break an American soul. The so-called “tiny,” comparatively “small” acts of sacrifice our people make to survive are anything but, and occur with an unspeakable frequency every day, just as cruel and debilitating as the glaring wounds we see.
Out of this reeking, appalling miasma has arisen a worthy and good politician, Senator Barack Obama. He is deserving of my total support and fervent prayers for success, but he is obviously not a prince of peace.
Despite the utter humiliation and shambles of our pathetic journalism profession those odious, stupid, catty scurrilous god-awful total fucking scumbags still are led by the nose under the tutelage of Matt Drudge. “Journalists” are never going to be change agents in my lifetime.
History shows us that societies can undergo generations of unspeakable abuse and poverty before they finally rebel. If the last eight years have reinforced anything it’s the well-researched fact that humans are tragically very pre-disposed to following authoritarians. The great modern American chance is that electronics, the internet and the post-war investment play for the middle class can break our vicious political fantasy cycle, and almost immediately I will be in the thick of it with my hoarse voice and tiny wads of thrown cash.
Why this privilege was bestowed upon my life I do not know, but as I battle in fantasy my soul aches for those somehow, in this insane world, just left behind and shunted aside in countless unseen paths of muted howling pain. I have not forgotten you, and as I long as I breathe know I labor for a day when none of us are denied an American life, none left behind or forgotten.
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